2026: Will Tech IPOs Thrive While the AI Bubble Bursts?

2026: Will Tech IPOs Thrive While the AI Bubble Bursts?

The tech world is gearing up for an exciting 2026, with the prospect of groundbreaking IPOs on the horizon. Picture this: three major players in technology—SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic—are set to make their much-anticipated market debuts. This could be a defining moment, not just for these companies, but for the entire tech landscape.

Considering my background in tech markets, it’s evident that this wave of IPOs could re-shape the investment landscape. The buzz surrounding these impending launches is palpable, hinting at both excitement and uncertainty in the market.

What We Know About SpaceX’s IPO

SpaceX, the aerospace giant led by Elon Musk, might go public as early as June 2026, aiming to raise over $30 billion (approximately €28 billion). Musk himself confirmed these preparations in a post on X, igniting speculation about the company’s ambitious plans. Interestingly, there seems to be an AI component to this IPO. Reports suggest that SpaceX is not just looking to soar high but also to deploy data centers in space, an idea that’s captivating many in the tech industry.

OpenAI and Anthropic: Timing and Ambitions

Unlike SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic are navigating less certain timelines for their potential public offerings. In December 2025, sources indicated that Anthropic had engaged the law firm Wilson Sonsini for IPO preparations. Yet, the company’s communications officer mentioned no immediate plans are set. Meanwhile, OpenAI is eyeing an IPO that could value it at $1 trillion (about €940 billion) by late 2026, significantly elevating its status among publicly traded firms right from the start.

Are OpenAI and Anthropic Planning to Go Public Soon?

As of now, both OpenAI and Anthropic are in different stages of preparation for their IPOs. While Anthropic has hired legal help, their timeline remains uncertain. OpenAI’s potential $1 trillion valuation could shake up the market significantly.

The Economic Ripple Effect

Historically, a thriving IPO market positively impacts local economies, particularly in areas with substantial equity-based compensation. Jay Ritter, a University of Florida professor, discussed how a buoyant IPO market could benefit not just tech companies but also the larger economy. Deutsche Bank researchers even suggested that without tech-related spending, the U.S. could be facing a recession.

How Will These IPOs Affect the Economy?

The success of these IPOs could energize the economy, especially given the pivotal role tech and AI play. If they perform well, this might instill confidence in both private and public companies to invest in AI.

The AI Bubble: Is It About to Burst?

The market seems poised for a new era of AI stocks, particularly if Anthropic and OpenAI launch their IPOs. Currently, many tech stocks benefit from the AI hype, but the reality is that few companies operate exclusively in this space. A pure-play AI stock could change that.

Will AI Stocks Define the Future of Investment?

If OpenAI and Anthropic enter the market, it could set the stage for a clearer understanding of the AI sector’s profitability and growth trends.

Investor Sentiment and Future Predictions

The future remains uncertain, however. There’s a real risk of overvaluation, given the intense hype surrounding these companies. If the IPOs fail to meet expectations, it could lead to a broader pullback in AI investments. Nick Einhorn from Renaissance Capital noted that the responses to these IPOs could either drive more investment or create hesitation within the market.

What Happens If the AI Bubble Bursts?

Should the AI sector experience a downturn, it could drastically affect many companies. Drawing parallels to the dot-com bubble, where many failed yet some like Nvidia thrived post-burst, we see that not every company suffers equally.

With 2026 just around the corner, all eyes are on the impending IPOs of SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic. Will these tech titans elevate the market, or could they signal a looming bubble? It all hinges on their performance. What do you think? Are you excited to see how these developments unfold? Let me know in the comments below!